BTC Capitulation Composite Sensor
Composite gauge of 6 capitulation components for BTC market structure.
State History
Track record
Measured from state-change events vs forward returns on the acting asset. Verdicts: validated (≥60% hit, n≥8) · contrarian (≤40% — the state's name lies) · no-content (a coin flip) · unmeasurable (n<8, reported never guessed). A state with no row has no track record.
State Definitions
35-65% of components firing. Stress indicators building. Early warning phase.
< 35% of capitulation components firing. No significant stress signals. Normal market conditions.
> 65% of components firing. Multiple capitulation signals present. High stress environment.
Data stale or unreliable. Unable to calculate state. Treat as elevated risk.
Sources
Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.