regimePremium/HIGH confidence
Altcoin Season Detector
Predicts broad altcoin rotation using 22-node contagion graph. 12 cross-asset Granger features detect when DXY, carry trades, and risk appetite align for an alt season. Basket: LINK, INJ, GRT, AKT, TIA, FIL, PYTH, MKR. Walk-forward AUC: 0.662. MaxDD improvement: -91%→-54%.
NORMAL
47d stale
State History
No history data available yet.
Track record
NORMAL
1 fires since 2021 · 100% hit · median 21d +14.6% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
STRESS
1 fires since 2021 · 0% hit · median 21d +5.4% on BTC-USD
unmeasurable
Measured from state-change events vs forward returns on the acting asset. Verdicts: validated (≥60% hit, n≥8) · contrarian (≤40% — the state's name lies) · no-content (a coin flip) · unmeasurable (n<8, reported never guessed). A state with no row has no track record.
Read-only intelligence. Sensor states are diagnostic observations, not predictions.