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CorporateWithdrawn★ featured
GameStop acquires eBay
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
premise not yet verified
EHIQ
8%
(5-12%)
Edge
—
—
The call vs the market, dated
Opened May 10, 2026. The at-open probability stamps on this call have not passed provenance verification and are excluded from all statistics; the resolved outcome is unaffected.
EHIQ vs market over time · 10 data points · refreshed daily
EHIQMarket
Thesis
Polymarket prices GameStop acquiring eBay at 20%. EHIQ at 8% — 12pp fade. T1 HIGH-confidence call (TIQ-validated via Cohen YouTube corpus). Linguistic register on Cohen's public statements does not support a near-term acquisition path: cash on balance sheet supports the financial capacity but Cohen's communication pattern around acquisitions is exploratory-not-imminent across the YouTubes. Polymarket appears to be pricing speculative threads from the GameStop-rallies-then-retail-gets-loud pattern rather than substantive M&A signal. Confidence HIGH because Cohen public corpus is extensively analyzed in EHIQ's TIQ stack.
Opened
May 10, 2026
Expected resolution
December 31, 2026
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