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Blackstone (BX) stock closes below $150 on at least one day by EOY 2026

Will BX stock close below $150 on at least one trading day between Jun 6 2026 and Dec 31 2026?

premise not yet verified

EHIQ

55%

(45-65%)

Market

—

Edge

—

Thesis

What makes us wrong

BX closes below 150

Principal-agent thesis: $1.18B of BCRED fees flowing to Blackstone Inc. in 2025 = 8% of total BX revenue, with no explicit support agreement obligating BX to backstop BCRED NAV. As BCRED Q2 non-accrual recognition begins and the cross-fund private-credit gating narrative compounds, BX stock should test the $150 level on at least one trading day.

Opened

June 7, 2026

Expected resolution

December 31, 2026

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