Glossary
Definitions for every term, state, and score used across EventHorizon IQ.
Sensor States
Normal operating conditions. Low volatility, balanced risk appetite. The measured asset or indicator is within its typical range.
Markets favoring risk assets. Capital flowing into equities, crypto, and high-yield instruments.
No dominant directional bias. Cross-asset flows are roughly even between risk-on and risk-off.
Stress building. The measured indicator is trending toward elevated levels but has not reached critical thresholds.
Capital rotating to safety. Flows moving from equities and crypto into treasuries, gold, and cash.
Crypto markets are leading the macro move. On-chain and exchange data show activity ahead of traditional markets.
Traditional macro indicators are leading. Rate changes, yield moves, or policy shifts driving before crypto responds.
Heightened risk. The measured indicator is significantly above normal and warrants attention.
Extreme stress. Conditions at or near historical extremes. Structural dislocation possible.
Forced or panic selling detected. On-chain or exchange data shows distressed exits at scale.
Extreme bullish sentiment. Leverage, retail inflows, and social metrics at historical highs. Fragile upside.
No directional signal. The sensor does not currently detect conditions that map to a directional state.
Scoring Systems
The combined scoring engine. TIQ-ML merges TIPS v2 (qualitative earnings analysis, 60% weight) with a macro-context ML model (40% weight). The ML model uses macro conditions (VIX, yields, sector momentum) to modulate conviction — it never overrides the qualitative direction.
A 0–100 score derived from 20 calibrated language patterns in earnings transcripts. Higher scores indicate stronger structural conviction in the company's trajectory. TIPS is the primary signal; the ML model modulates it.
BULLISH or BEARISH. Derived from qualitative tonality analysis of management language across sequential earnings calls. Not a price prediction — it reflects the structural trajectory of the business.
Signal strength as a percentage. Higher conviction means more structural patterns are aligned. A 90% conviction BULLISH signal means nearly all 20 qualitative patterns point in the same direction.
The ML model abstains (shows GATED) when its probability is too close to 50/50. This filters out low-confidence predictions. When the gate is active, only the TIPS qualitative score is used.
Inflection Signals
Structural turning points detected from patterns in sequential earnings transcripts. When multiple qualitative patterns converge (constraint dissolution, posture shifts, commercial acceleration), the system flags an inflection signal. These are observations, not trade recommendations.
General Terms
A persistent market condition that constrains the behavior of assets within it. Regimes are classified by sensors (e.g., VIX regime, Fed policy regime) and change infrequently relative to price.
A classification of a company's multi-quarter trajectory based on qualitative patterns. Arc types range from recovery arcs (Type 1) to cyclical arcs (Type 7) and indicate structural phase, not price direction.
An automated classifier that monitors a specific data source (VIX, Treasury yields, on-chain data, etc.) and outputs a regime state with a confidence level.
The append-only record of all sensor state changes. Every reading is timestamped and cannot be edited or deleted after recording. This allows independent verification of EHIQ's track record.
A suggestion from the AI agent system for a new sensor or coverage expansion. Proposals are reviewed and approved by humans before implementation.
Two sequential earnings transcripts from the same company. The qualitative change between them (what shifted in management language) is the core signal.
EventHorizon IQ is an intelligence layer. It provides diagnostic observations, not investment advice, trading signals, or recommendations. All sensor data reflects current conditions at time of recording. Past states do not predict future outcomes. No execution capabilities.