Election
JD Vance is overrated as the 2028 GOP favorite
Will JD Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
EHIQ
32%
Polymarket
51%
as of Sep 20 (1h ago)
Divergence
-19.2pp
Provenance: EHIQ registered 32% on Jul 26, 2026, market mid was 41% (prereg'd, evidence-grade).
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premise verified 0h ago