Election
2028 presidency — JD Vance
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US presidential election?
EHIQ
27%
Polymarket
21%
as of Sep 20 (1h ago)
Divergence
+6.3pp
Provenance: EHIQ registered 27% on Jul 26, 2026, market mid was 19% (prereg'd, evidence-grade).
Markets
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premise verified 0h ago