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Election

2028 presidency — Gavin Newsom

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US presidential election?

EHIQ
15%
Polymarket
8%
as of Sep 20 (1h ago)
Divergence
+7.0pp

Provenance: EHIQ registered 15% on Jul 26, 2026, market mid was 17% (prereg'd, evidence-grade).

Markets
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premise verified 0h ago

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