Election
Lula da Silva re-election (Brazil 2026)
Will Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
EHIQ
55%
Polymarket
42%
as of Sep 20 (1h ago)
Divergence
+13.5pp
Provenance: EHIQ registered 38% on Jul 26, 2026, market mid was 41% (prereg'd, evidence-grade).
Markets
Embed this call
iframe — paste into any page
<iframe src="https://eventhorizoniq.com/embed/call/brazil-presidential-lula-2026" width="560" height="150" frameborder="0" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" loading="lazy" title="EHIQ: Lula da Silva re-election (Brazil 2026)"></iframe>
premise verified 0h ago