Election
Flávio Bolsonaro win (Brazil 2026)
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
EHIQ
43%
Polymarket
57%
as of Sep 20 (1h ago)
Divergence
-14.5pp
Provenance: EHIQ registered 33% on Jul 26, 2026, market mid was 42% (prereg'd, evidence-grade).
Markets
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premise verified 0h ago