Election
Any candidate wins outright in Brazil's 2026 first round
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil 2026 presidential election?
EHIQ
4%
Polymarket
7%
as of Sep 20 (1h ago)
Divergence
-2.9pp
Provenance: EHIQ registered 4% on Sep 12, 2026, market was 6% at open.
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