EventHorizon IQ

Research

Timestamped analysis. Verifiable data. Public record.

Reports

Transcripts Analyzed

Media Citations

March 31, 2026PAID

I’m Short Asana, Salesforce, Five9, DocuSign, and Atlassian.

Their CEOs All Said "AI Is an Opportunity." 716 earnings calls say otherwise.

SaaSShort ThesisTonalityIQAI Paradox

716 earnings calls. The AI Paradox: companies in the top quintile of AI language density underperformed by 5.4pp over 90 days (p=0.043). Typology: Roadkill, Survivors, Quietly Recovering. Next Chegg scoring.

716 calls5.4pp spreadp=0.0435 shortsChegg template

Press

Published March 31, 2026. Covers ASAN, CRM, FIVN, DOCU, TEAM.

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March 29, 2026FREE

We Detected Apple’s AI Collapse One Quarter Early. Here’s How.

AAPLTonalityIQMethodology

TonalityIQ detected a constraint spike in Apple’s earnings language one quarter before the Siri delays and 20% stock drawdown. The system works.

83 transcripts18 Gurman articles mappedConstraint spike preceded drawdown

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March 27, 2026FREE

$345 Million in Cash Flow. $4 Stock. The Market Isn’t Paying Attention.

PTONEquityTonalityIQ

26 earnings transcripts across three CEOs. Pattern 10 detected — the same signal found in Carvana before the 32x run.

26 transcripts$345M FCF5x multiple43-day catalyst

Press

Covered by Bloomberg and Business Insider, March 27, 2026. Stock moved +17% intraday.

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March 26, 2026FREE

Pebbles.

What four private credit CEOs said before seven platforms gated $159 billion in 33 days

Private CreditBDCSystemic Risk

38 earnings transcripts. 10,000-iteration Monte Carlo. 29 BDC risk scores. The language patterns were identical across every platform that broke.

7 platforms$159B gated636 PIK companies24.9% systemic probability

Press

Published March 26, 2026. FSOC meeting on private credit same day.

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March 2026INSTITUTIONAL — $499

Private Credit Stress Report — Institutional Edition

29 BDC Risk Scores | Monte Carlo Cascade Simulation | Cross-Fund Contagion Analysis

Private CreditBDCInstitutional

The full institutional analysis behind “Pebbles.” — 12 sections covering risk scores, Monte Carlo results, contagion mapping, FSK 7-quarter TIQ arc, ARCC comparison, monitoring framework, and systemic risk assessment.

29 BDCs scored378 contagion edges1,564 shared companies10,000 Monte Carlo iterations

Quarterly updates available with Intelligence tier ($999)

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Methodology

All research is built on EventHorizon IQ's TonalityIQ engine — 20 calibrated earnings patterns validated across 21 years of market data. Monte Carlo simulations use 10,000+ iterations with cross-fund contagion modeling.

Every claim is timestamped. Every data point is sourced. Every call has a public record.

Academic Foundation

The research methodology is grounded in 20 years of peer-reviewed work from Columbia University on governance, prestige signaling, and leadership failure.

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This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance of analytical frameworks is not indicative of future results. All timestamps and data references are verifiable against public records.