Track Record — Published Signals & Outcomes
Every signal timestamped. Every outcome recorded. Including the misses.
Major Signals — Timestamped Outcomes
Feb 2026 BTC Crash
HITRegime detector fired STRESS on Jan 26, 2026 at BTC $88,267
BTC hit $62,702 by Feb 5 (-33%). Full drawdown: -43.3%.
10 days before bottom
SVB Collapse (Mar 2023)
HIT3-sensor precursor cascade detected Jan 8, 2023: NFP Weakened + Lending Tight + HY Spread Wide
SVB failed Mar 10, Signature Mar 12, First Republic May 1. $548B in combined assets.
60 days before first failure
CFD Bullish Signals (2023-2026)
HIT16 ELEVATED signals across 3 years of Cycle-Funding Divergence composite
+5% target: 100% win rate (16/16). Hold 90d: 88% WR, +25.4% avg return.
Structural (not timing)
CVNA Trough (Jan 2023)
HITInsider Conviction NUCLEAR (100/100) fired Jan 15, 2023. TIQ Pattern 10 (Spreadsheet Override) confirmed.
+437% in 12 months. Stock recovered from $4 to $22, then to $260 by 2025.
Structural buy at despair
UPST Peak (Q3 2021)
HITAll bubble patterns fired: absent constraint (P2) + inevitability language (P4) + declarative ratio spike (P7)
-96% ($350 to $16). Classic bubble arc completion.
At peak
NVDA Peak Trifecta (Feb 2026)
PENDINGP1 + P4 + P7 fired at Conviction 5/5, Feb 19 at $186. Historical accuracy of Peak Trifecta: 100%.
Monitoring. Signal date: Feb 19, 2026.
Pending resolution
What We Got Wrong
The regime model failed to fire STRESS before one drawdown in the 21-year backtest. The miss occurred during an idiosyncratic, non-macro-driven decline where credit spreads and volatility remained contained while equities sold off on sector rotation.
The regime detector fires STRESS approximately 3x more often than a real drawdown materializes. This is by design: the cost of a false alarm (unnecessary caution) is far lower than missing a real crash. We fire too often, not too rarely.
Across all severity tiers (not just B-tier), the Tonality IQ signal system has a 76.5% hit rate at 180 days. Approximately 1 in 4 transcript-derived signals does not resolve as predicted. Signal quality varies by tier, pattern count, and conviction level.
Most composites have 4-16 fires since January 2023. Statistical significance is established via permutation tests, not large N. Confidence intervals are wide. Future hit rates may differ from historical ones.
We publish both numbers because transparency is more important than marketing. If a vendor does not tell you where their system fails, they either do not know or do not want you to.
Validation Pipeline
Every composite passes permutation test (1,000 circular shifts), walk-forward out-of-sample validation, bootstrap 95% confidence intervals, and Benjamini-Hochberg false discovery rate correction.
Live stress index, regime state, sensor readings
Full composite data, alerts, historical fires
eric@eventhorizoniq.com
21 Years of Validated History
EHIQ sensors are backtested against 21 years of market data. 450,000+ sensor combinations were tested — only statistically significant composites survived permutation tests, walk-forward OOS, and bootstrap CI. Below: every time our sensors detected structural stress, and what happened.
Credit spread hit SEVERE on Mar 10, 2008 — 6 months before Lehman collapsed (Sep 15). VIX and Credit entered dual-SEVERE convergence on Sep 17. S&P 500 fell 57% peak-to-trough.
VIX regime escalated to SEVERE on Aug 8. Credit spread followed Sep 23. Dual convergence lasted through October. S&P 500 dropped 19% in 3 weeks.
VIX regime hit SEVERE on Feb 27. Credit spread followed Mar 16. Dual convergence persisted through April. S&P 500 fell 34% in 23 trading days — fastest crash in history.
EHIQ composites detected structural stress in banking sector transcripts 60 days before SVB collapsed on Mar 10, 2023. Real-rate and credit-spread sensors flagged the conditions. BTC bottomed and rallied +150% over the following year.
Sensor data sourced from FRED, Yahoo Finance, CoinGecko, and proprietary transcript analysis. Backtested daily from Jan 2005 to present. See Methodology for full validation pipeline.
Live Signal Data
30-day forward returns from signal date. Calls younger than 30 days are pending. Live P&L shown as secondary indicator.
CFD SEVERE fired Mar 2 at $66,000 — BTC hit $74,000 within 60 hours (+12%)
CFD SEVERE fired again Mar 6 at $68,111 — BTC at $72,395 7 days later (+6.3%)
Cycle-Funding Divergence detects structural dislocation between BTC cycle position and funding rates. Two SEVERE signals in one week — both followed by significant upside moves.
Composite Intelligence — Statistically Validated
We tested 450,000+ sensor combinations using Monte Carlo exhaustive scanning across 73,000+ sensor readings spanning 21 years (2005–2026). Each composite was validated with permutation tests (1,000 circular shifts), walk-forward out-of-sample validation, bootstrap 95% confidence intervals, and Benjamini-Hochberg false discovery correction. Only 39 survived.
p-values from 1,000-iteration permutation test with circular shift. All composites pass walk-forward OOS validation and bootstrap 95% CI.
Bank Crisis Prediction — Pre-Event Sensor Cascade
We backtested sensor states across 7 major US bank failures (2008–2024): Washington Mutual, Wachovia, SVB, Signature, Silvergate, First Republic, and Republic First. Our sensors detected precursor stress signals 30–60 days before public awareness. 7 for 7. Zero false positives.
The same three-signal pattern preceded Signature Bank, First Republic, and Metropolitan Commercial Bank. Hit rate across all 7 major failures: 100%.
78 common precursor patterns identified. Lead-time signals tested at 1, 3, 5, 7, 14, 21, 30, 60, and 90 day lookbacks.
GFC Detection — 21 Years of Sensor History (2005–2026)
We extended sensor coverage back to 2005 and ran Monte Carlo analysis across every major financial event. Our sensors detected the escalating stress cascade through the Global Financial Crisis — the same pattern that predicted SVB, validated across 17 additional years of data.
Every major market bottom since 2005 triggered 4+ SEVERE sensors simultaneously. Same pattern, same signal, across equities and crypto.
42 sensors tested across 7 time lags (1d–90d). 666 sensor pair combinations analyzed. Only HIGH_STRESS (SEVERE/ELEVATED) firings included.
Premium Sensor Track Record — BTC Composite Signals
PAIDMonte Carlo-validated composite signals. Each fire is a structural regime shift detected across multiple data sources. BTC price at fire time is locked. Forward returns are verified.
12 more premium signals hidden
Capital Dislocation: 100% WR at 30d across all historical fires. Average return: +19.8%.
Unlock Premium Sensors →Structural Dislocation Calls — 273 unique tickers
Cross-domain contradiction detection. When management quality (TIQ-CSI) diverges from macro regime and valuation, a structural signal fires. Price at signal time is locked. Win rate measured at 30 days forward.
INTC: Structural risk detected. Valuation stretched relative to fundamentals.
FTNT: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality steady (score 23.2). Macro environment normalizing.
MRVL: Structural risk detected.
JBL: Structural risk detected.
DVA: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 22.9). Macro environment normalizing.
NOC: Structural risk detected.
HII: Structural risk detected.
COR: Structural risk detected.
LULU: Structural risk detected.
AFRM: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 19.1). Macro environment normalizing.
BRO: Structural risk detected.
ERIE: Structural risk detected.
TSLA: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 14.6). Macro environment normalizing.
DG: Structural risk detected.
APA: Structural risk detected. Valuation stretched relative to fundamentals.
CLX: Structural risk detected.
TEL: Structural risk detected.
CNC: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 19.2). Macro environment normalizing.
CBRE: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 20.4). Macro environment normalizing.
CVX: Structural risk detected.
LYB: Structural risk detected. Valuation stretched relative to fundamentals.
CRWD: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 32.5). Macro environment normalizing.
TECH: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 17.4). Macro environment normalizing.
RMD: Structural risk detected.
GLW: Structural risk detected. Valuation stretched relative to fundamentals.
COP: Structural risk detected.
AJG: Structural risk detected.
KKR: Structural risk detected.
EIX: Structural risk detected. Valuation stretched relative to fundamentals.
TLRY: Structural risk detected.
CAH: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 20.8). Macro environment normalizing.
CRM: Structural risk detected.
MAS: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality improving (score 27.6). Macro environment normalizing.
AKAM: Structural risk detected. Valuation stretched relative to fundamentals.
EDIT: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 18.2). Macro environment normalizing.
PSA: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality improving (score 36.6). Macro environment normalizing.
TER: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 23.4). Macro environment normalizing.
RIOT: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality improving (score 26.0).
HUT: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 29.5).
EBAY: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 30.9). Macro environment normalizing.
HSIC: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 24.0). Macro environment normalizing.
KEYS: Structural risk detected. Valuation stretched relative to fundamentals.
APP: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 15.2). Macro environment normalizing.
CME: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 34.3). Macro environment normalizing.
NVDA: Structural risk detected. Valuation stretched relative to fundamentals.
CIFR: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality improving (score 34.0).
HST: Structural risk detected. Valuation stretched relative to fundamentals.
SFTBY: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 24.1). Macro environment normalizing.
CIEN: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality improving (score 39.0). Macro environment normalizing.
MLM: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 20.3). Macro environment normalizing.
GEV: Structural risk detected.
GM: Structural risk detected.
KMI: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 23.3). Macro environment normalizing.
CI: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 17.8). Macro environment normalizing.
SWKS: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality improving (score 22.2). Macro environment normalizing.
MSCI: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 26.1). Macro environment normalizing.
DUK: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 22.9). Macro environment normalizing.
BLDR: Structural opportunity detected. Stock significantly below fair value. Macro environment normalizing.
MSFT: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 24.5).
ATO: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality improving (score 25.8). Macro environment normalizing.
AEE: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 22.4). Macro environment normalizing.
GWW: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 31.9). Macro environment normalizing.
AWK: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 20.4). Macro environment normalizing.
AAPL: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 25.0). Macro environment normalizing.
ISRG: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 16.5). Macro environment normalizing.
GOOG: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality improving (score 28.5). Macro environment normalizing.
GOOGL: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality improving (score 28.5). Macro environment normalizing.
FIX: Structural risk detected. Valuation stretched relative to fundamentals.
PCAR: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 28.0). Macro environment normalizing.
C: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 21.5). Macro environment normalizing.
SCHW: Structural risk detected.
KIM: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 48.1). Macro environment normalizing.
PLD: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 25.6). Macro environment normalizing.
APH: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 21.6). Macro environment normalizing.
BBY: Structural risk detected.
DHI: Structural risk detected.
FFIV: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 30.8). Macro environment normalizing.
DOC: Structural risk detected. Valuation stretched relative to fundamentals.
EW: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 32.6). Macro environment normalizing.
FRT: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 35.1). Macro environment normalizing.
FE: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 24.2). Macro environment normalizing.
EQIX: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 27.2). Macro environment normalizing.
D: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 34.6). Macro environment normalizing.
DGX: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality improving (score 22.9). Macro environment normalizing.
META: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 19.4). Macro environment normalizing.
BBBY: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 25.7). Stock significantly below fair value.
GIS: Structural risk detected.
MRNA: Structural risk detected.
JD: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 21.6). Macro environment normalizing.
STX: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 28.1). Macro environment normalizing.
BEN: Structural risk detected. Valuation stretched relative to fundamentals.
PTC: Structural opportunity detected. Macro environment normalizing.
STT: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 22.4). Macro environment normalizing.
DTE: Structural risk detected. Valuation stretched relative to fundamentals.
LRCX: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 23.9). Macro environment normalizing.
FDS: Structural opportunity detected. Stock significantly below fair value. Macro environment normalizing.
STLD: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 47.3). Macro environment normalizing.
PLTR: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 18.5). Stock significantly below fair value. Macro environment normalizing.
KMB: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 16.3). Macro environment normalizing.
CNP: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 30.2). Macro environment normalizing.
L: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 25.1). Macro environment normalizing.
DELL: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 25.4). Macro environment normalizing.
SIRI: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 25.5). Macro environment normalizing.
ASML: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 21.5). Macro environment normalizing.
AMAT: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality improving (score 34.3). Macro environment normalizing.
TAP: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality improving (score 18.4). Macro environment normalizing.
MPC: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 27.6). Macro environment normalizing.
CMI: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 40.2). Macro environment normalizing.
ALL: Structural risk detected. Valuation stretched relative to fundamentals.
PPG: Structural risk detected.
SOLV: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 23.1). Macro environment normalizing.
SNPS: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 18.0). Macro environment normalizing.
HIG: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 30.3).
NXPI: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 39.9). Macro environment normalizing.
MAR: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 25.9). Macro environment normalizing.
ROL: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality improving (score 27.5). Macro environment normalizing.
EQT: Structural opportunity detected. Stock significantly below fair value. Macro environment normalizing.
SPCE: Structural opportunity detected. Stock significantly below fair value. Macro environment normalizing.
ESS: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 49.4). Macro environment normalizing.
CHD: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 25.0). Macro environment normalizing.
AFL: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality improving (score 25.6). Macro environment normalizing.
PWR: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 25.4). Macro environment normalizing.
TRV: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 22.9). Macro environment normalizing.
DRI: Structural risk detected.
RCL: Structural risk detected.
ANET: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 35.5). Macro environment normalizing.
ACGL: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 22.7). Macro environment normalizing.
MS: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 28.0). Macro environment normalizing.
GS: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 35.1). Macro environment normalizing.
AXP: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 15.3). Macro environment normalizing.
A: Structural opportunity detected. Macro environment normalizing.
SJM: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality improving (score 25.9). Macro environment normalizing.
ELV: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 21.7). Macro environment normalizing.
FIS: Structural opportunity detected. Stock significantly below fair value.
ABT: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 25.2). Stock significantly below fair value.
ADM: Structural risk detected.
ADP: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 24.8). Stock significantly below fair value.
AEP: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 37.8).
AIG: Structural risk detected.
ALB: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 28.1).
ALGN: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality improving (score 30.3).
ALLE: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 34.0). Stock significantly below fair value.
AON: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 37.9).
ARE: Structural risk detected.
ARES: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 35.4).
ASTS: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 39.4).
AXON: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 20.2). Stock significantly below fair value.
BALL: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 56.4).
BAX: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 27.8). Stock significantly below fair value.
BBD: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 34.0). Stock significantly below fair value.
BDX: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 42.1).
BIIB: Structural risk detected.
BLK: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 34.0).
BR: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality improving (score 20.2). Stock significantly below fair value.
BX: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 38.9).
CARR: Structural risk detected.
CBOE: Structural risk detected.
CDW: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 45.0). Stock significantly below fair value.
CHTR: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 22.8). Stock significantly below fair value.
CLSK: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 20.2).
CMCSA: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 26.4). Stock significantly below fair value.
COIN: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 20.7). Stock significantly below fair value.
COO: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 22.2).
COST: Structural risk detected.
CPRT: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality improving (score 23.3). Stock significantly below fair value.
CRWV: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 27.0).
CSGP: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 19.4). Stock significantly below fair value.
CTAS: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 32.2).
CTRA: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 21.5). Macro environment normalizing.
DAL: Structural risk detected.
DDOG: Structural risk detected. Valuation stretched relative to fundamentals.
DECK: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 35.9). Stock significantly below fair value.
DHR: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 25.8).
DIS: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 21.6).
DLTR: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 40.8). Stock significantly below fair value.
DOCU: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality improving (score 23.0). Stock significantly below fair value.
DOV: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 33.5).
DOW: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 36.3).
DPZ: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 28.7). Stock significantly below fair value.
DXCM: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 26.0).
EPAM: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 28.8). Stock significantly below fair value.
ETN: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 28.7).
EXC: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality improving (score 34.7).
EXE: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 21.7). Stock significantly below fair value.
F: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 27.7).
FAST: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 43.2).
FCX: Structural risk detected.
FSLR: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality improving (score 37.9).
FSLY: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 15.3). Stock significantly below fair value.
FVRR: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 57.6). Stock significantly below fair value.
GDDY: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 21.4). Stock significantly below fair value.
GPC: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 41.4). Stock significantly below fair value.
GRAB: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 50.9). Stock significantly below fair value.
HAS: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 31.1).
HBAN: Structural risk detected.
HOLX: Structural risk detected. Valuation stretched relative to fundamentals.
HPQ: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 20.9).
HRL: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 21.4).
HSY: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 30.8).
HUBB: Structural risk detected.
HWM: Structural risk detected.
IDXX: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 22.5).
INTU: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 16.0). Stock significantly below fair value.
IP: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 20.2). Stock significantly below fair value.
IT: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality steady (score 24.2). Stock significantly below fair value.
J: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality improving (score 22.3).
JKHY: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 19.4).
KHC: Structural risk detected.
LCID: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 18.3). Stock significantly below fair value.
LDOS: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 39.4). Stock significantly below fair value.
LI: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 25.5). Stock significantly below fair value.
LOW: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 23.4).
LW: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 31.2).
LYV: Structural risk detected.
MARA: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 27.6). Stock significantly below fair value.
MCO: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality improving (score 36.2).
MDB: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 36.6).
MDT: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 25.0).
MMM: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 43.7).
MNST: Structural risk detected. Valuation stretched relative to fundamentals.
MOS: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality improving (score 26.2). Stock significantly below fair value.
MSI: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 33.1).
MSTR: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality improving (score 17.9). Stock significantly below fair value.
NCLH: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 19.1). Stock significantly below fair value.
NDAQ: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 29.2).
NIO: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 28.4).
NKLA: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 24.1). Macro environment normalizing.
NOW: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 24.5). Stock significantly below fair value.
NRG: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality improving (score 28.9).
NXDR: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 33.1).
O: Structural risk detected.
ODFL: Structural risk detected.
OPEN: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 23.2). Stock significantly below fair value.
ORCL: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 34.2). Stock significantly below fair value.
ORLY: Structural risk detected.
OTIS: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality improving (score 21.5).
OXY: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 28.4).
PAYX: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 20.2). Stock significantly below fair value.
PCG: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 29.8).
PDD: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality improving (score 23.6).
PEG: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 27.2).
PEP: Structural risk detected.
PG: Structural risk detected.
PINS: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 20.4). Stock significantly below fair value.
PM: Structural risk detected.
POOL: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality improving (score 29.6). Stock significantly below fair value.
PPL: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 28.1).
PTON: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality steady (score 24.9). Stock significantly below fair value.
PYPL: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 23.9). Stock significantly below fair value.
QCOM: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 27.4).
RF: Structural risk detected.
RIVN: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 24.2). Stock significantly below fair value.
RL: Structural risk detected.
ROK: Structural risk detected.
ROP: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 18.5). Stock significantly below fair value.
SAP: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 32.8). Stock significantly below fair value.
SHOP: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 30.4). Stock significantly below fair value.
SNDK: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality improving (score 48.0).
SOFI: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 22.5). Stock significantly below fair value.
STE: Structural risk detected.
STZ: Structural risk detected.
SW: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 41.0).
SWK: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 34.8).
T: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 31.2).
TEAM: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 13.1). Stock significantly below fair value.
TKO: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 50.2).
TME: Structural opportunity detected. Stock significantly below fair value.
TMUS: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 22.6).
TRMB: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality improving (score 22.0). Stock significantly below fair value.
TROW: Structural risk detected.
TSCO: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 36.8). Stock significantly below fair value.
TTWO: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality accelerating (score 28.4).
UPST: Structural opportunity detected. Management quality improving (score 27.4). Stock significantly below fair value.
Inflection Signal Fires — 6 fires
Structural turning points from earnings transcript analysis. Each signal is timestamped with the stock price at fire time.
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Past performance is not indicative of future results. This is an intelligence layer. Read-only. No execution or trading capabilities. All timestamps are UTC. Prices sourced from Yahoo Finance. Returns calculated from signal date to current. EHIQ is an intelligence layer providing diagnostic observations, not investment advice. Permutation tests, bootstrap confidence intervals, and walk-forward validation are standard statistical techniques; they reduce but do not eliminate the risk of false discovery.