MacroActive

v18 model prints STRESS regime for at least 3 consecutive days in Q3 2026

Will the v18 model print STRESS regime for at least 3 consecutive trading days between Jul 1 2026 and Sep 30 2026?

EHIQ

72%

(60-82%)

Market

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Edge

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Thesis

v18 already prints STRESS as of late May 2026. Q3 historically captures macro stress episodes (August VIX spikes, Q3 earnings de-risking, late-summer liquidity thinness). 72% probability of at least one sustained STRESS episode in Q3.

Opened

June 7, 2026

Expected resolution

September 30, 2026