Drake Iceman Week 4 EAU > 120K

Drake 'Iceman' Week 4 EAU forecast: greater than 120K. Implies W3→W4 decline shallower than -30%. Basis (Jun 7 2026 stamp): - Through 3 weeks: 463K (W1) → 225K (W2, -51%) → 171K (W3, -24%) - Drake historical W3→W4 declines: Scorpion -23%, CLB -27%, FATD -25%, Honestly Nevermind -33%. Median -26%, range -23 to -33%. - W2→W3 of -24% is on the SHALLOW end of Drake's historical W2→W3 (which ranges -30% to -45%). Structural strength. - Chartmetric Spotify audience: Drake monthly listeners at 99.5M Jun 6 (+11% MoM); daily listener adds +90-120K through late W3 → ACCELERATING, not decelerating. - Catalog-economy thesis (established in Iceman W1 misses piece): the shallower W2→W3 and accelerating late-W3 audience suggest W4 lands on shallow end of historical W3→W4 (i.e. -20 to -25%). Central forecast: W4 EAU in 128K-137K range. Outcome question (binary): > 120K = HIT, ≤ 120K = MISS. Stamped: 2026-06-07. Resolves W4 EAU print (Billboard Week 4 tracking ends approximately 2026-06-12).