← All calls
CorporateActive★ featured
Drake Iceman first-week sales 600K+
Will Drake Iceman first-week album sales be at least 600K?
EHIQ
20%
(22-32%)
Polymarket
2%
Edge
+17.6pp
EHIQ above market
Upstream of markets
EHIQ called this at 20% on May 4, 2026 when Polymarket was at 50%.
Market has since moved down to 2% · -47.6pp from open
EHIQ vs market over time · 11 data points · refreshed daily
EHIQMarket
Thesis
Day 258 video (May 4) called 525K first-week. Polymarket weighted-average derivation from bucket pricing came in at 521K — EHIQ framework converged with weighted-avg consensus. This is alignment-with-consensus track record rather than upstream divergence. Album drops May 15; resolves once Luminate first-week numbers report. Note: Polymarket consensus is more bullish on the upside (35% on 600K+).
Opened
May 4, 2026
Expected resolution
May 23, 2026